Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Philip E. Tetlock
352
May 22, 2017
★★★★★ (+22.85%) 🛈

Highly readable discussion about how hard it is to predict the future, and all the cognitive traps we fall into when we try to do so. Includes a handy list of Ten Commandments (actually 11) of Super Forecasting.